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Blue Iowa Survey: Iowa Dems Confident in Obama's Chances Following RNC and DNC

Iowa Democrats are still talking about the speeches by Bill Clinton, Paul Ryan and Michelle Obama.

Influential Iowa Democrats are either projecting optimism or they are really, really confident following the national conventions for their party and Republicans, according to Patch's latest Blue Iowa survey.

Speeches by former President Bill Clinton, Wisconsin congressman and Republican vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan, and Michelle Obama also caught their attention.

When asked if the Democratic National Convention did a good job of defining President Barack Obama in a way that will help him win the November election, 76 percent of respondents strongly agreed, while the other 24 percent were a bit less confident, but still somewhat agreed.

The 31 Democrats responding to this Blue Iowa survey are a mix of current and former office holders, party leaders, candidates and activists. The survey was inspired by academic research showing that endorsements by party "actors" at all levels — officeholders, party officials and local activists — are a critical leading indicator of primary presidential elections.

Blue Iowa looks at the mood of influential Democrats as campaigning for the general election approaches. Those who agree to take part in the survey are noted below, but individual answers are kept confidential.

Patch also runs Red Iowa, our survey of influential state Republicans. Our most recent Red Iowa survey asked Iowa Republicans for their takes on the conventions.

Red Iowa Survey: RNC a Success But Could Have Better Defined Romney and Appealed to Middle Class

The participants in the latest Blue Iowa survey were most confident about how effective the DNC was at firing up voters in a way that will get them to the polls for Obama. Eighty-five percent said they strongly agree, while another 15 percent somewhat agreed.

The survey respondents were particularly, if expectedly, down on the Republican National Convention. For example, 90 percent of respondents felt strongly or somewhat that the RNC did not do a good job defining GOP nominee and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in a way that will help him win the presidency. Ten percent somewhat agreed that the RNC succeeded on this front.

Iowa Democrats gave some credit to their rivals. More than half of respondents - 51 percent - somewhat agreed that the RNC fired up voters for Romney.

"I think the Dems revved up the people, but the Reps revved up the money by playing to those interests," one respondent wrote. "I am not sure which wins elections anymore, unfortunately."

National polls suggest that Obama came out of the convention with a bounce, while Romney didn't fall, but didn't get a bump. A New York Times blog analysis shows Romney getting a short spike, while Obama got an extended bump.

The Iowa respondents keyed in on some of the conventions' headline speeches - none of which were the marquee attractions - Obama or Romney.

"Neither convention was particularly exciting," one Iowa Democrat wrote. "The difference comes down to two speeches: Paul Ryan vs. Bill Clinton. The story after Ryan's was how far he stretched the truth and that gave a negative overall feel to the convention. Meanwhile, Bill Clinton gave a well-received speech that gave a positive feel to the DNC. And that's the problem with the conventions: neither candidate was the story of the conventions."

If you'd like to take part in either survey, contact Iowa Regional Editor Todd Richissin at todd.richissin@patch.com.

Jan Bauer, Abishek Vemuri, Beth Wessel Krochell, Wayne Clinton, Tom Beell, Jim Gaunt, Ethan Fredricke, Don Zuck, Bob Kressig, Jeff Danielson, Pat Sass, Don Page, Pam Gross, Tavis Hall, Sally Browne, Roger White, Terry Dahms, Sarah Swisher, Katherine Valde, Mike Carbrerry, Caroline Dieterle, Scott Syroka, Virginia Soelberg, Marcia Nichols, Judy Anderson, Tom Leffler, Bill Unger, Pat Walters, Mari Hall, George Lake, Seth Moomey, Amber Mussman, Cody Crawford, Jan McCool, Mary Polson, Dan Cataldi, Kris Winters, Mike Newell, Rick Smith, Carl Johnson, Gail Kotoval, David Leonard, Julie Zeisman, Eric Brenneman, Sue Ellen Kennedy, Joe Shanahan, Laurie Belin, Saundra Ragona, Kathi Phillips, Karen Moriarity.

Gramps Pupany September 19, 2012 at 03:49 PM
GOP corruption starts with Romney & Ryan and lies they've told us about their who they will serve and who they won't. Lies of "omission", such as hidden budget cuts, are equal to lies of "commission", such as telling the rich one thing and the rest of America another. They're up to his necks in The Lying Game. What they say is all part of the larger GOP strategy. Believe me, Ryan "takes direction" in order to "stay on" the Republican message. He must "sing the GOP song" to be a GOP candidate. All across the nation, millionaires are backing these liars. They want full control in order to create the final divide between rich and poor. "Us and them". Their misjudgment? A lot of that 47% they despise is part of working America; students working their way through college, single moms restarting their lives with their first job since high school and truly poor mothers, working while the kids are at school, just to buy fuel oil for this winter and food for the day. These are proud Americans. Romney has just stolen their pride, their will power and more...their dignity. Men like Romney, Ryan and Republican candidates for Congress have no place in the seats of government (at any level) making decisions for "all Americans". They only have experience with the "jet set" and their "country club" members. That's okay, if you're running for Prom Queen, but the responsibilities here are far reaching and their vision does not include all Americans, as we've just found out.
Troy Murphy September 19, 2012 at 08:45 PM
‘Bread and Circuses’ is the cancer of democracy, the fatal disease for which there is no cure. Democracy often works beautifully at first. But once a state extends the franchise to every warm body, be he producer or parasite, that day marks the beginning of the end of the state. For when the plebs discover that they can vote themselves bread and circuses without limit and that the productive members of the body politic cannot stop them, they will do so, until the state bleeds to death, or in its weakened condition the state succumbs to an invader—the barbarians enter Rome.” This is so true What you forget is that when 50% of Americans are paying only 30% of all income taxes with the other 50% of Americans paying 70% of taxes the rich paying the 70% will take their money and go somewhere where the taxes, regulations, and labor are more favorable. Good luck finding a well paying job then.
Troy Murphy September 19, 2012 at 08:48 PM
By the way I forgot the attribution to Robert Heinlein for the above quote. He really was a smart man who actually understood reality, even though he was a great science fiction writer.
B.A. Morelli September 19, 2012 at 09:31 PM
It is always interesting to see the direction these comment threads take on political stories.
maxine weimer October 08, 2012 at 09:36 PM
Gramps...what about all the lies and broken promises made by Obama 4 years ago? Doesn't that account for anything? Oh I forgot its only the Dems that are aloud to lie to everyone and not follow through with their promises. Why is that when the Dems lie its always overlooked or ignored and the smallest of lies told by a Republican is always bloated into a monumental exageration? Hummmm

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