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Drought 2012: A long, dry season

Discussion of the impact of the long, dry season on the corn crop and the governor's public meeting next week on the drought.

Around 2:46 a.m. this morning, rain came to Big Grove. Lightning and thunder woke me, the drops falling against the south window. After a while, water began trickling in the downspout. Lightning, rain and thunder continued for more than an hour, although when I went outside, the driveway hardly seemed wet. Rain was welcome, but not enough fell.


We were talking about the corn crop at the Cedar County fair yesterday and the consensus was the crops were stressed because of the hot, dry weather. Someone said we can tell by examining the leaves, and when it is overly dry, they curl to conserve moisture. This takes energy away from pollination. Click on the photo to enlarge it and you can see what this looks like. Despite the vast expanses of corn on the road to Tipton, we needs rain soon to avert a crop failure. Yields are already expected to be lower.

Today, the USDA is set to formally declare Johnson County a disaster because of the drought. It is one of 1,016 counties in 26 states in what some news outlets are calling the biggest disaster in history. At noon yesterday, a burn ban was established in Johnson County. There is a plague on local pine trees and all of the dead and dry ones are like tinder—it would further complicate our lives if they caught on fire.

On Tuesday, the governor is holding a public meeting to discuss the drought in Mount Pleasant. From the Governor's press release:

"...(the governor and lieutenant governor) will hold a two-hour public meeting on the severe dry and D1 Drought conditions that have plagued Iowa this summer. The event will be held Tuesday morning at the Mt. Pleasant High School gymnasium, and members of the public are encouraged and welcome to attend.

The public meeting will feature officials from the Iowa Department of Natural Resources, Iowa Department of Agriculture and Land Stewardship, Iowa Department of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, and the USDA. Outside expert testimony will feature agricultural groups and environmental experts.

The discussion will include the latest information and tracking metrics, how coordination is being handled between the state and federal levels, and potential action steps that may be taken in order to ensure Iowa’s needs are met. The public is invited to share their thoughts and concerns."

Unlike the statements of various pundits, grand poobahs and talking heads on television, radio and the Internet, this long, dry season is actually scary. Now that we are into it, humans have little control over the weather, and all we can do is hope for more rain.

Kurt B. July 14, 2012 at 10:56 am
We were definitely due for a drought. The historical records indicate the last one was 23 years ago.
What is really interesting now is what the effects will be of this drought. Our economy not only depends hugely on petroleum, but now also, crops such as corn. With a major drought like we are in the process of experiencing this year, there will be less corn available for ethanol production ( used in gasoline that we buy for our vehicles ), as well as for livestock feed. Plus, a huge number of other products ( cereal, sweeteners, etc. ) The outcome will be higher prices and, again, a very interesting scenario on the worldwide ag market. The Dept of Agriculture has already reduced their corn yield estimate for this year from approx. 166 bushels / acre to now 146 bu/ac. If we have no rain soon, this 146 figure could easily get down into the 120 range. Even lower is possible, of course. This will have a huge impact on all of us, but most people don't realize this.
Maria Houser Conzemius July 14, 2012 at 01:08 pm
Kurt B., I realize how disastrous this drought is. What scares me is that Texas was on fire last year and this year parts of Texas are under 10" of water. Last year Iowa had sequential flooding and drought. The climate is changing. This year has been the hottest on record since records have been kept.
Paul Deaton July 14, 2012 at 06:38 pm
I will attend the governor's meeting in Mount Pleasant Tuesday, and if there is anything to report, will post on it. The debate is not about whether or not the climate is changing; whether or not people believe the overwhelming majority of scientific opinion about the climate. The simple truth is in our lifetime we are having to deal with extreme weather events, including flooding, tornadoes, derechos, increased numbers of tropical storms, drought, wildfires and severe blizzards. Now add potential food shortages and definitely add higher food prices as a result of declining inventory of staple grains and a shortfall during a year that was supposed to be a bin buster, and the existential reality of dealing with the results of severe weather events is worrisome, much more than all the hyperbole about climate change.
This Washington Post <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/us-climate-official-says-more-extreme-events-convincing-many-americans-climate-change-is-real/2012/07/06/gJQAHNZ5QW_story.html">article</a> is of interest, but whether we believe in climate change is becoming less relevant than dealing with the extreme weather. Hope our leaders connect the dots soon.
Maria Houser Conzemius July 15, 2012 at 02:28 pm
Paul, I hope our leaders connect the dots soon too. As Rick Whitten said, the insurance companies are connecting the dots whether our leaders or the rest of us are connecting the dots or not. As our forests dry out and temperatures rise, people who want to live in increasingly fire-prone areas won't be able to buy insurance for their houses. Insurance companies won't insure people who want to live in floodplains with "100-year" and "500-year" floods. Such notions of frequency are rapidly becoming out of date.
Thank God environmental scientists, environmentalists, and insurance companies are keeping track of what's happening, because the global warming deniers won't believe in global warming even as the waters close over their heads.
David Leonard July 17, 2012 at 03:12 pm
My house is high and dry in Waukee, but my insurance company has raised my rate significantly the last two years. They justify it by pointing out the severe weather events we have been having (as well as the increased cost of construction materials).

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